Sports gambling can be quite profitable if anyone know the strategies often the “smart money” bettors apply to consistently make money. One of the primary secrets that intelligent money bettors use will be knowing when NOT to be able to bet.

Here’s a excellent case in point. I analyzed typically the Rest of the world California vs. Louisville match, and concluded that West California had typically the edge in the match. Yet , I also noticed that there have been a good deal of random and unstable factors, and recommended to my clients that they perform not wager on that game. Here is our analysis I released ahead of the game:

West California versus Louisville

This game possesses all the indications of being one involving the best games associated with the year, using equally teams coming into the adventure 7-0. It’s #3 graded West Virginia versus. #5 ranked Louisville, the two along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s sport was a classic, with Western side Virginia coming again from being down large in the final 1 fourth to winning throughout overtime.

So what’s the adventure appearance like this year?

If this activity were being played at a good neutral field, West Florida would certainly probably be a 4-6 level favorite. Since typically the game is Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia is definitely on an unprecedented spin. They haven’t lost since Oct. 1, 2005, intending 14-0 since they misplaced to California Tech. On the last two seasons they’re 13-5 ATS too. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last nine game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 10 STREET games.

All these are some very outstanding stats that tilt the particular scales in favor of WVU to get tonight’s gaming. Plus, often the extra benefit is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. 원엑스벳 will likely not seem like significantly, but in a shut match-up this way, that spare point will certainly make the difference between the push and even a loss.

But some of us wonder what regarding Louisville?

Louisville’s gambling are generally almost as good as WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their past 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. That said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS into their last 10 home video games.

Plus if you’re leaning in direction of WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t misplaced in your own home since Dec 17, the year 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. five points for each game in your house, while hitting only leaving behind 15. 6 points every game on home. In case you didn’t do the mathematics, that means due to the fact their last home loss they are yet to averaged beating their oppositions by means of about thirty four factors per game.

Furthermore remarkable, the average line during these games has only been 21 points. That stands for Louisville has beaten often the divide, on average, by 13 details per sport at home given that the year 2003.

Wow… how can anyone not in favor of that?

Here’s precisely how…

Most of those stats were being developed during the july 2004 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to experienced recent games where they also have only scored 35, twenty-three, 24 points. That game titles weren’t against Oh St. or Michigan. They will have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.

In essence the fact that this is still a good close match to phone. Nevertheless the things i look regarding is West Virginia’s protection to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, and even Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s zero purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to middle of the 20’s. My honest advice can be to lay off this particular game and definitely not gamble at all. There are usually better games this weekend with more clear-cut advantages.

The final score in this game was Louisville forty-four, West Florida 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles together with allowed Lousiville to come back a good punt for a good TD. The results was that West Virginia’s fringe wasn’t so big they will could very well still win following building so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this sport, people serious about gambling saved money many people can offer better apply on approaching games.