Sports betting are often very profitable if you know the tricks the particular “smart money” gamblers apply to consistently make money. One of the greatest secrets that sensible money bettors use is definitely knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a best example of this. We analyzed the Western side Virginia vs. Louisville activity, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the match. However , I actually also recognized that there were a good deal of random and unpredictable factors, and recommended to my clients that they do not gamble on that game. Here is my analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Las vegas vs . Louisville
This video game possesses all the indicators of being one connected with the best games involving the year, having equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia against. #5 ranked Louisville, both with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s match was a classic, having West Virginia coming back from becoming down big in the fourth 1 fourth to winning inside overtime.
So what’s the sport seem like this year?
In the event this game were turning into played at a simple field, West Va would likely probably be a 4-6 position favorite. Since the particular game was in Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if can make sense…
West Virginia is usually on an unprecedented rotate. They haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, planning 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. In the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 ATS in their last on the lookout for game titles overall, and 8-2 ATS in their last 10 ROAD games.
These are some very outstanding stats that tilt typically the scales in favor connected with WVU regarding tonight’s online game. Plus, the added bonus is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This might not seem to be like significantly, but in a near match-up like this, that spare point will make the distinction between a good push in addition to a loss.
But some of us wonder what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s gambling are almost as good like WVU’s -except when the idea comes to Louisville covering the point spread. In their particular past 10 games, Louisville is simply 4-6 ATS. The fact that said, Louisville is all the same 7-3 ATS into their very last 10 home game titles.
And if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a scary stat… Louisville hasn’t lost at your home since 12 20, 2003! During this current run Louisville is averaging 49. five points per game at home, while averaging only giving up 15. six points every game on home. In case anyone decided not to do the math concepts, that means considering that their own last home damage they already have averaged beating their opposing team by about 34 items per game.
In addition extraordinary, the average line in these games has only already been 21 points. That means that Louisville has beaten the particular get spread around, on average, by means of 13 things per video game at home given that 2003.
Wow… how can you not in favor of that?
Here’s exactly how…
Most of those stats were being piled up during the july 2004 season. This season, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to fine than great. They also have possessed recent games through which they also have only scored 35, 12, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kansas St. or Michigan. Many people were against Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St.
The end result is of which this is still a close video game to phone. Yet the things i look intended for is West Virginia’s defense to carry the moment. If ufabet1688 , Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 30 points, then there’s simply no purpose to think WVU can’t have one to the particular low to core 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off this kind of game and not bet at all. There happen to be better games this saturday and sunday with more simple rewards.
The final score of this game was Louisville forty-four, West Virginia 34. Lousiville won because West Florida had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to go back the punt for a new TD. The bottom line was of which West Virginia’s advantage has not been so big that they can could still win after doing so many mistakes. Simply by not betting on that sport, people really serious regarding gambling saved money that they can put to better apply on coming games.